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How to Bet This Tier: Back Desperate Teams in Upcoming Weeks It’s not over yet for these teams, but they all fall outside the top-nine in their conference in these rankings, and you may recall only seven make the playoffs on each side. The Raiders have the most encouraging profile of the bunch but are buried in that division at 1-3. The Cardinals are 2-2 against the second easiest schedule in the league but have the fourth hardest remaining and Kyler Murray’s numbers are rough. The Saints are a late comeback against the Falcons away from 0-4. Now their respective seasons are already on life support, and the signs are worrying.Īll five rank 20th or below in DVOA. New Orleans SaintsĪ month ago, these five all had clear playoff hopes. Tier VI: It’s Getting Late Pretty Early 24.

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How to Bet This Tier: Don’t.įeel free to sprinkle an occasional moneyline longshot or a long odds cover, but otherwise stay away for now. But these teams look like squads that will take their lumps as they face growing pains with young QBs this fall. Heck, the Giants are 3-1 and would be in the playoffs right now.

The NFL is weird and you never know with these things. Unlike the four teams at the bottom, at least these franchises have some direction, a coaching staff they trust, and some potential at quarterback. Tier VII: It Could Be Worse, You Know 28. I’d make them about even odds with Houston. That would put them at +430, under half the price we’re getting. That should mean goodbye to Matt Rhule and Baker Mayfield and could equal an organizational mandate to lose as much as possible to put the franchise in position to start over.įootball Outsiders actually makes the Panthers favorites to pick No. 500 or better and will be favored, so Carolina could be 1-11 into the bye. The Texans won two of their final four last year, so they’re not necessarily a tanking team.Ĭheck out Carolina’s next eight games: 49ers, Rams, Bucs, Falcons (x2), Bengals, Ravens, Broncos.

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Houston still plays the Giants and Commanders, plus five more against its own terrible division. The Texans are near even odds for worst record in the league, far too short this early in the season, especially since that tie effectively counts as a sneaky win for tiebreaks. How to Bet This Tier: Panthers +900 Fewest Wins Stroud or Bryce Young and hope their team loses enough to secure a chance to take them next spring. It won’t be long before these teams’ football attention spans turn from Sunday to Saturday games as fans dream of C.J. The rest of the season is just about seeing which pieces are worth keeping around - and that probably doesn’t include the quarterbacks or coaches. They know it, the fans know it, and everything else is only a matter of time. The season is already over for these four.

So which teams are the favorites, who are the contenders to the throne, who are the sleepers and frauds, and - most importantly - how do we bet it all? Tier 8: No. Title Tiers are forward looking, using what we know so far to project where things look going forward. They don’t necessarily rank what teams have done so far, nor how good they are right now. These are your Quarter Season Title Tiers. Now that every team has played four games and we’re about one-fourth of the way through the season, it’s a great time to zoom out and scan the football landscape to see exactly where everything stands. We’re building ourselves quite a futures portfolio.

We R-E-L-A-X-ed and bought low on Packers futures after the season opener, played a little Buy or Sell with the Eagles, Bengals, Titans, Giants, and Dolphins after two games, and sprinkled longshots like Trevor Lawrence MVP +4000 and Atlanta Falcons division +2500 last week. It’s Futures Friday again, and we’re having fun with these weekly check-ins.